Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000136 0.000152 0.000169 0.000188 0.000209 0.000232 0.000259
2025-09-07 0.000113 0.000134 0.000158 0.000187 0.000222 0.000261 0.000310
2025-09-14 0.000096 0.000120 0.000148 0.000185 0.000231 0.000286 0.000358
2025-09-21 0.000085 0.000111 0.000144 0.000187 0.000245 0.000318 0.000417
2025-09-28 0.000075 0.000103 0.000139 0.000188 0.000257 0.000347 0.000475
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000095 0.000133 0.000187 0.000265 0.000371 0.000528
2025-10-12 0.000062 0.000091 0.000131 0.000191 0.000280 0.000406 0.000598
2025-10-19 0.000056 0.000085 0.000127 0.000192 0.000289 0.000433 0.000659
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000081 0.000123 0.000192 0.000298 0.000459 0.000721
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000190 0.000304 0.000480 0.000776
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000072 0.000116 0.000191 0.000314 0.000509 0.000846
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.000068 0.000112 0.000188 0.000317 0.000528 0.000901
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000064 0.000109 0.000187 0.000324 0.000553 0.000968
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000061 0.000106 0.000187 0.000332 0.000581 0.001043
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000058 0.000103 0.000186 0.000337 0.000603 0.001111
2025-12-14 0.000030 0.000056 0.000102 0.000189 0.000350 0.000642 0.001210
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000054 0.000100 0.000190 0.000361 0.000675 0.001303
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000052 0.000097 0.000189 0.000366 0.000700 0.001383
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000051 0.000098 0.000193 0.000382 0.000746 0.001506
2026-01-11 0.000024 0.000049 0.000096 0.000193 0.000391 0.000778 0.001604
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000193 0.000399 0.000810 0.001704
2026-01-25 0.000021 0.000045 0.000091 0.000191 0.000402 0.000833 0.001788
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000043 0.000090 0.000192 0.000413 0.000870 0.001906